Airbus foresees that Brazilian airlines will need more than 330 passenger aircraft above 100 seats over the next 20 years to meet demand for traffic growth as well as aircraft replacement. This will represent a value at current list price of US$ 32 billion. Overall demand of new aircraft in Latin America is around 1,450 aircraft.
The Brazilian passenger aircraft fleet of above 100 seats is expected to more than double in the 20 year period, growing from 208 aircraft in service in 2006 to more than 460 by 2026. Taking retirements into account, the new aircraft will include some 250 short haul – single-aisle aircraft, which are currently prominent in the region’s fleet, some 80 medium to long-range wide-body aircraft and eight very large aircraft to satisfy strong international travel growth.
The increase in demand for new aircraft is the consequence of the strong passenger traffic growth in Brazil. Since the 1990s, international passenger traffic doubled while domestic traffic risen 77 per cent in the past ten years alone. With a yearly forecast growth of 5.3 per cent for the next 20 years, Latin American travel growth is well above the world average of 4.9 per cent.
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